Knowledge for Climate/Climate changes Spatial Planning

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Adaptation to climate change in urban water management : flood management in the Rotterdam Rijnmond Area \ Understanding and Managing Urban Water in Transition [Scientific article]
Vliet, M. van \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2015
Many large coastal cities are located in deltas, which makes them vulnerable to floods. In many places flood damages have increased due to an increase in people and assets in the cities. This process is expected to continue. At the same time, climate ...
Evaluating the effect of flood damage-reducing measures: a case study of the unembanked area of Rotterdam, the Netherlands \ Regional environmental change [Scientific article]
Moel, H. de \ Vliet, M. van \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2014
Empirical evidence of increasing flood damages and the prospect of climatic change has initiated discussions in the flood management community on how to effectively manage flood risks. In the Netherlands, the framework of multi-layer safety (MLS) has ...
Including climate change projections in probabilistic flood risk assessment \ Journal of flood risk management [Scientific article]
Ward, P.J. \ Pelt, S.C. van \ Keizer, O. de \ Beersma, J.J. \ Hurk, B.J.J.M. van den \ Linde, A.H. te \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2014
This paper demonstrates a framework for producing probabilistic flood risk estimates, focusing on two sections of the Rhine River. We used an ensemble of six (bias-corrected) regional climate model (RCM) future simulations to create a 3000-year time- ...
Flood risk assessment for delta mega-cities : a case study of Jakarta \ Natural hazards : journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards [Scientific article]
Budiyono, B. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Brinkman, J.J. \ Marfai, M.A. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2014
Jakarta has suffered major floods in 2002, 2007, and 2013. To cope with and adapt to both the current and future flood problem, the city requires quantitative assessments of flood risk. In this study, we develop a flood risk assessment model for Jaka ...
Uncertainty and sensitivity of flood risk calculations for a dike ring in the south of the Netherlands \ The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific research into the environment and its relationship with man [Scientific article]
Moel, H. de \ Bouwer, L.M. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2014
A central tool in risk management is the exceedance-probability loss (EPL) curve, which denotes the probabilities of damages being exceeded or equalled. These curves are used for a number of purposes, including the calculation of the expected annual ...
Increasing stress on disaster-risk finance due to large floods \ Nature climate change [Scientific article]
Jongman, B. \ Hochrainer-Stigler, S. \ Feyen, L. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Mechler, R. \ Botzen, W.J.W. \ Bouwer, L.M. \ Pflug, G. \ Rojas, R. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2014
We present probabilistic trends in continental flood risk, and demonstrate that observed extreme flood losses could more than double in frequency by 2050 under future climate change and socio-economic development. We suggest that risk management for ...
Detailed insights into the influence of flood-coping appraisals on mitigation behaviour \ Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions [Scientific article]
Bubeck, P. \ Botzen, W.J.W. \ Kreibich, H. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2013
Insights into flood mitigation behaviour are important because of the ongoing shift to risk-based flood management approaches in Europe and worldwide, which envisage a contribution from flood-prone households to risk reduction. The recent literature ...
Uncertainty in flood risk assessments: what are its major sources and implications? \ Comprehensive flood risk management : research for policy and practice [Conference proceedings]
Moel, H. de \ Botzen, W.J.W. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2013
As with any calculation that uses models with various data sources and relationships, flood risk assessments are surrounded by considerable uncertainty. Investigating uncertainty and its propagation in flood risk assessments is complicated because of ...
Low-probability flood risk modeling for New York City \ Risk analysis [Scientific article]
Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Lin, N. \ Botzen, W. \ Emanuel, K. \ Moel, H. de \ 2013
The devastating impact by Hurricane Sandy (2012) again showed New York City (NYC) is one of the most vulnerable cities to coastal flooding around the globe. The low-lying areas in NYC can be flooded by nor'easter storms and North Atlantic hurricanes. ...
Adaptation to Meuse flood risk [Monograph]
Ward, P.J. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Keizer, O. de \ Poussin, J.K. \ cop. 2013
Het risico van overstromingen zal naar verwachting toenemen in de toekomst. Het is dus van belang om te begrijpen hoe en waarom dit risico zal veranderen, en hoe we ons kunnen aanpassen aan dit risico. Uit dit onderzoek blijkt dat in Nederlands Limbu ...
Potential of semi-structural and non-structural adaptation strategies to reduce future flood risk: case study for the Meuse \ Natural hazards and earth system sciences / European Geosciences Union [Scientific article]
Poussin, J.K. \ Bubeck, P. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2012
Flood risk throughout Europe has increased in the last few decades, and is projected to increase further owing to continued development in flood-prone areas and climate change. In recent years, studies have shown that adequate undertaking of semi-str ...
Global exposure to river and coastal flooding : long-term trends and changes \ Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions [Scientific article]
Jongman, B. \ Ward, P.J. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2012
Flood damage modelling has traditionally been limited to the local, regional or national scale. Recent flood events, population growth and climate change concerns have increased the need for global methods with both spatial and temporal dynamics. Thi ...
Comparative flood damage model assessment: towards a European approach \ Natural hazards and earth system sciences / European Geosciences Union [Scientific article]
Jongman, B. \ Kreibich, H. \ Apel, H. \ Barredo, J.I. \ Bates, P.D. \ Feyen, L. \ Gericke, A. \ Neal, J. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2012
There is a wide variety of flood damage models in use internationally, differing substantially in their approaches and economic estimates. Since these models are being used more and more as a basis for investment and planning decisions on an increasi ...
A review of risk perceptions and other factors that influence flood mitigation behavior \ Risk analysis [Scientific article]
Bubeck, P. \ Botzen, W.J.W. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2012
In flood risk management, a shift can be observed toward more integrated approaches that increasingly address the role of private households in implementing flood damage mitigation measures. This has resulted in a growing number of studies into the s ...
Do flood risk perceptions provide useful insights for flood risk management? Findings from central Vietnam \ Journal of flood risk management [Scientific article]
Bubeck, P. \ Botzen, W.J.W. \ Suu, L.T.T. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2012
Following the renewed attention for non-structural flood risk reduction measures implemented at the household level, there has been an increased interest in individual flood risk perceptions. The reason for this is the commonly-made assumption that f ...
Long-term development and effectiveness of private flood mitigation measures: an analysis for the German part of the river Rhine \ Natural hazards and earth system sciences / European Geosciences Union [Scientific article]
Bubeck, P. \ Botzen, W.J.W. \ Kreibich, H. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2012
Flood mitigation measures implemented by private households have become an important component of contemporary integrated flood risk management in Germany and many other countries. Despite the growing responsibility of private households to contribut ...
Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of coastal flood damage estimates in the west of the Netherlands \ Natural hazards and earth system sciences / European Geosciences Union [Scientific article]
Moel, H. de \ Asselman, N.E.M. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2012
In this paper we developed a new approach to estimate flood inundation depths that can be incorporated in a Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis. This allows estimation of the uncertainty in flood damage estimates and the determination of which parameter ...
How are flood risk estimates affected by the choice of return-periods? \ Natural hazards and earth system sciences / European Geosciences Union [Scientific article]
Ward, P.J. \ Moel, H. de \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2011
One of the most common approaches in flood risk assessment is to estimate the damage that would occur for floods of several exceedance probabilities (or return periods), to plot these on an exceedance probability-loss curve (risk curve) and to estima ...
How reliable are projections of future flood damage? \ Natural hazards and earth system sciences / European Geosciences Union [Scientific article]
Bubeck, P. \ Moel, H. de \ Bouwer, L.M. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2011
Flood damage modelling is an important component in flood risk management, and several studies have investigated the possible range of flood damage in the coming decades. Generally, flood damage assessments are still characterized by considerable unc ...
Future flood risk estimates along the river Rhine \ Natural hazards and earth system sciences / European Geosciences Union [Scientific article]
Linde, A.H. te \ Bubeck, P. \ Dekkers, J.E.C. \ Moel, H. de \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2011
In Europe, water management is moving from flood defence to a risk management approach, which takes both the probability and the potential consequences of flooding into account. It is expected that climate change and socio-economic development will l ...
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