Knowledge for Climate/Climate changes Spatial Planning

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Increasing stress on disaster-risk finance due to large floods \ Nature climate change [Scientific article]
Jongman, B. \ Hochrainer-Stigler, S. \ Feyen, L. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Mechler, R. \ Botzen, W.J.W. \ Bouwer, L.M. \ Pflug, G. \ Rojas, R. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2014
We present probabilistic trends in continental flood risk, and demonstrate that observed extreme flood losses could more than double in frequency by 2050 under future climate change and socio-economic development. We suggest that risk management for ...
Increasing flood exposure in the Netherlands: implications for risk financing \ Natural hazards and earth system sciences / European Geosciences Union [Scientific article]
Jongman, B. \ Koks, E.E. \ Husby, T.G. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2014
The effectiveness of disaster risk management and financing mechanisms depends on an accurate assessment of current and future hazard exposure. The increasing availability of detailed data offers policy makers and the insurance sector new opportuniti ...
Jakarta Climate Adaptation Tools (JCAT) [Monograph]
Ward, P.J. \ Ierland, E.C van \ Budiyono, Y. \ Wijayanti, P. \ Muis, S. \ Marfai, M.A. \ Poerbandono \ Julian, M.M. \ Fauzi, A. \ 2014
Historical records show that flooding per se is not a new problem in Jakarta, and that flooding has occurred throughout the city’s history. However, the impacts of flooding have increased in recent decades, as a result of changes in both physical (e. ...
Assessment of the effects of climate and land cover changes on river discharge and sediment yield, and adaptive spatial planning in the Jakarta region \ Natural hazards : journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards [Scientific article]
Poerbandono, R. \ Julian, M. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2014
In Jakarta, climate change has been detected through rising air temperatures, increased intensity of rainfall in the wet season, and sea level rise. The coupling of such changes with local anthropogenic driven modifications in the environmental setti ...
Flood risk assessment for delta mega-cities : a case study of Jakarta \ Natural hazards : journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards [Scientific article]
Budiyono, B. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Brinkman, J.J. \ Marfai, M.A. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2014
Jakarta has suffered major floods in 2002, 2007, and 2013. To cope with and adapt to both the current and future flood problem, the city requires quantitative assessments of flood risk. In this study, we develop a flood risk assessment model for Jaka ...
Community responses and adaptation strategies toward flood hazard in Jakarta, Indonesia \ Natural hazards : journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards [Scientific article]
Marfai, M.A. \ Sekaranom, A.B. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2014
Jakarta, as the capital of the Republic of Indonesia, has long been known to be at risk from flood hazard. It is increasingly recognized that community responses and adaptation strategies are essential for planning future mitigation action. In order ...
Including climate change projections in probabilistic flood risk assessment \ Journal of flood risk management [Scientific article]
Ward, P.J. \ Pelt, S.C. van \ Keizer, O. de \ Beersma, J.J. \ Hurk, B.J.J.M. van den \ Linde, A.H. te \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2014
This paper demonstrates a framework for producing probabilistic flood risk estimates, focusing on two sections of the Rhine River. We used an ensemble of six (bias-corrected) regional climate model (RCM) future simulations to create a 3000-year time- ...
A framework for global river flood risk assessments \ Hydrology and earth system sciences [Scientific article]
Winsemius, H.C. \ Beek, L.P.H. van \ Jongman, B. \ Ward, P.J. \ Bouwman, A. \ 2013
There is an increasing need for strategic global assessments of flood risks in current and future conditions. In this paper, we propose a framework for global flood risk assessment for river floods, which can be applied in current conditions, as well ...
Adaptation to Meuse flood risk [Monograph]
Ward, P.J. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Keizer, O. de \ Poussin, J.K. \ cop. 2013
Het risico van overstromingen zal naar verwachting toenemen in de toekomst. Het is dus van belang om te begrijpen hoe en waarom dit risico zal veranderen, en hoe we ons kunnen aanpassen aan dit risico. Uit dit onderzoek blijkt dat in Nederlands Limbu ...
Governance of flood risk management in a time of climate change: the cases of Jakarta and Rotterdam \ Environmental politics [Scientific article]
Ward, P.J. \ Pauw, W.P. \ Buuren, M.W. van \ Marfai, M.A. \ 2013
Traditionally, flood management has concentrated on providing protection against floods using technical measures, but there is currently an international shift towards more integrated flood risk management, whereby flood risk is defined as the probab ...
Climate adaptation in the city of Jakarta \ Climate adaptation and flood risk in coastal cities [Scientific article]
Ward, P.J. \ Marfai, M.A. \ Poerbandono, R. \ Aldrian, E. \ 2012
Flood risk modelling \ Climate adaptation and flood risk in coastal cities [Scientific article]
Poussin, J. \ Ward, P.J. \ Bubeck, P. \ Gaslikova, L. \ Schwertzmann, A. \ Raible, C.C. \ 2012
Comparative flood damage model assessment: towards a European approach \ Natural hazards and earth system sciences / European Geosciences Union [Scientific article]
Jongman, B. \ Kreibich, H. \ Apel, H. \ Barredo, J.I. \ Bates, P.D. \ Feyen, L. \ Gericke, A. \ Neal, J. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2012
There is a wide variety of flood damage models in use internationally, differing substantially in their approaches and economic estimates. Since these models are being used more and more as a basis for investment and planning decisions on an increasi ...
Future changes in Mekong river hydrology : impact of climate change and reservoir operation on discharge \ Hydrology and earth system sciences [Scientific article]
Lauri, H. \ Moel, H. de \ Ward, P.J. \ Räsänen, T.A. \ Keskinen, M. \ Kummu, M. \ 2012
The transboundary Mekong River is facing two ongoing changes that are expected to significantly impact its hydrology and the characteristics of its exceptional flood pulse. The rapid economic development of the riparian countries has led to massive p ...
Lost food, wasted resources: global food supply chain losses and their impacts on freshwater, cropland and fertiliser use \ The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific research into the environment and its relationship with man [Scientific article]
Kummu, M. \ Moel, H. de \ Porkka, M. \ Siebert, S. \ Varis, O. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2012
Reducing food losses and waste is considered to be one of the most promising measures to improve food security in the coming decades. Food losses also affect our use of resources, such as freshwater, cropland, and fertilisers. In this paper we estima ...
Global exposure to river and coastal flooding : long-term trends and changes \ Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions [Scientific article]
Jongman, B. \ Ward, P.J. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ 2012
Flood damage modelling has traditionally been limited to the local, regional or national scale. Recent flood events, population growth and climate change concerns have increased the need for global methods with both spatial and temporal dynamics. Thi ...
How are flood risk estimates affected by the choice of return periods? [Poster]
Ward, P.J. \ Aerts, J.C.H.J. \ Moel, H. de \ Poussin, J.K. \ [2012]
Poster presented at EGU General Assembly, 22-27 April 2012, Vienna, Austria.
Potential of semi-structural and non-structural adaptation strategies to reduce future flood risk: case study for the Meuse \ Natural hazards and earth system sciences / European Geosciences Union [Scientific article]
Poussin, J.K. \ Bubeck, P. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2012
Flood risk throughout Europe has increased in the last few decades, and is projected to increase further owing to continued development in flood-prone areas and climate change. In recent years, studies have shown that adequate undertaking of semi-str ...
Flood damage modelling on a global scale: exposure and trends, 1970–2050 [Poster]
Jongman, B. \ Aerts, J.C.J.H. \ Ward, P.J. \ 2011
Poster presented at the Practical Flood Research Seminar Series 2 – Expanding our communication ‘tool kits’: the scope for decision support tools in flood risk management, 8th April 2011, University of Oxford, Oxford, U.K.
Flood risk modelling [Monograph]
Poussin, J.K. \ Ward, P.J. \ Bubeck, P. \ Gaslikova, L. \ Schwerzmann, A. \ Raible, C.C. \ 2011
The move from traditional flood management to flood risk management can be seen at several scales, ranging from international to local. In this report we provide an overview of some of the main terminologies and approaches that are being used and dev ...
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