Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Record number 370916
Title Effects of precipitation uncertainty on discharge calculations for main river basins
Author(s) Biemans, H.; Hutjes, R.W.A.; Kabat, P.; Gerten, D.; Rost, S.
Source Journal of Hydrometeorology 10 (2009)4. - ISSN 1525-755X - p. 1011 - 1025.
Department(s) Alterra - Centre for Water and Climate
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2009
Keyword(s) global water-resources - space-time climate - vegetation model - runoff - availability - balance - variability - impacts - validation - streamflow
Abstract This study quantifies the uncertainty in discharge calculations caused by uncertainty in precipitation input for 294 river basins worldwide. Seven global gridded precipitation datasets are compared at river basin scale in terms of mean annual and seasonal precipitation. The representation of seasonality is similar in all datasets, but the uncertainty in mean annual precipitation is large, especially in mountainous, arctic, and small basins. The average precipitation uncertainty in a basin is 30%, but there are strong differences between basins. The effect of this precipitation uncertainty on mean annual and seasonal discharge was assessed using the uncalibrated dynamic global vegetation and hydrology model Lund-Potsdam-Jena managed land (LPJmL), yielding even larger uncertainties in discharge (average 90%). For 95 basins (out of 213 basins for which measurements were available) calibration of model parameters is problematic because the observed discharge falls within the uncertainty of the simulated discharge. A method is presented to account for precipitation uncertainty in discharge simulations.
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