Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

    We have a manual that explains all the features 

Record number 400690
Title Providing seasonal-to-interannual climate information for risk management and decision making
Author(s) Goddard, L.; Aitchellouche, Y.; Baethgen, W.; Dettinger, M.; Graham, R.; Hayman, P.; Kadi, M.; Martínez, R.; Meinke, H.B.
Source Procedia Environmental Sciences 1 (2010). - ISSN 1878-0296 - p. 81 - 101.
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proenv.2010.09.007
Department(s) Crop and Weed Ecology
PE&RC
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2010
Keyword(s) incomes-transforming advice - australian drought policy - western united-states - el-nino - precipitation forecasts - multimodel ensembles - farm incomes - snow cover - prediction - rainfall
Abstract Much has been learned in the interpretation and use of climate information since the 1997/1998 El Niño event that garnered so much attention. Seasonal-to-interannual forecasts are now produced around the world. However, mismatches in their scales, specificity or communication (of forecast content and uncertainties) with decision-maker needs still hinder their use. More work is needed to improve a) the utility of models, b) access to observational and model/forecast data, c) understanding and communication of the opportunities and limitations of forecasts, and d) methods by which decision systems use climate predictions – both through modifications of decision systems and more tailored forecast information. This white paper discusses these issues and recent advances in providing climate information needed in effective climate risk management. The paper advocates for the establishment and/or strengthening of “chains of experts and communications” to better enable appropriate and effective dissemination, assimilation and further use and application of climate information
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