Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Record number 406170
Title Exploring high-end scenarios for local sea level rise to develop flood protection strategies for a lowlying delta-the Netherlands as an example
Author(s) Katsman, C.A.; Sterl, A.; Beersma, H.W.; Brink, H.W. van den; Church, J.A.; Hazeleger, W.; Kopp, R.E.; Kroon, D.; Kwadijk, J.; Lammersen, R.; Lowe, J.; Oppenheimer, M.; Plag, H.P.; Ridley, J.; Storch, H. von; Vaughan, D.G.; Vellinga, P.; Vermeersen, L.L.A.; Wal, R.S.W.; Weise, R.
Source Climatic Change 109 (2011)3-4. - ISSN 0165-0009 - p. 617 - 645.
Department(s) Meteorology and Air Quality
CWC - Earth System Science and Climate Change
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2011
Keyword(s) hoogwaterbeheersing - zeespiegelschommelingen - kustbeheer - flood control - sea level fluctuations - coastal management - greenland ice-sheet - last interglacial period - pine island glacier - climate-change - mass-balance - thermohaline circulation - antarctic peninsula - northeast atlantic - west antarctica - acceleration
Categories Climatic Change
Abstract Sea level rise, especially combined with possible changes in storm surges and increased river discharge resulting from climate change, poses a major threat in low-lying river deltas. In this study we focus on a specific example of such a delta: the Netherlands. To evaluate whether the country’s flood protection strategy is capable of coping with future climate conditions, an assessment of low-probability/high-impact scenarios is conducted, focusing mainly on sea level rise. We develop a plausible high-end scenario of 0.55 to 1.15 m global mean sea level rise, and 0.40 to 1.05 m rise on the coast of the Netherlands by 2100 (excluding land subsidence), and more than three times these local values by 2200. Together with projections for changes in storm surge height and peak river discharge, these scenarios depict a complex, enhanced flood risk for the Dutch delta.
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