Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Record number 419628
Title A qualitative method for the spatial and thematic downscaling of land-use change scenarios
Author(s) Rickebusch, S.; Metzger, M.J.; Xu, G.; Vogiatzakis, I.N.; Potts, S.G.; Stirpe, M.T.; Rounsevell, M.
Source Environmental Science & Policy 14 (2011)3. - ISSN 1462-9011 - p. 268 - 278.
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2010.11.003
Department(s) WIMEK
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2011
Keyword(s) cover change - aerial-photography - future scenarios - swiss mountains - europe - biodiversity - dynamics - abandonment - landscapes - impacts
Abstract Assessing the potential impact of future land-cover changes on habitat quality requires projections with a fine spatial and thematic resolution. The former is usually addressed by downscaling methods, often at the expense of the latter. We present a new, rule-based method to downscale land-use change scenarios to the landscape level while keeping a large number of land-cover classes (CORINE level 3). The method relies on the interpretation of European scenario storylines, the observation of past land-use changes, high-resolution regional data and expert knowledge. The results give a landscape-level transposition of the scenario storylines which reflects the local conditions. The method has a number of advantages, such as its potential application in dialogues with policy-makers and stakeholders. Possible further developments include automating the rule-based selection to overcome the current limitations of this method in terms of spatial extent.
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