Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Record number 428882
Title Experiences with eliciting probalitities from multiple experts, 14th International Conference on Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems
Author(s) Gaag, L.C. van der; Renooij, S.; Schijf, H.J.M.; Elbers, A.R.W.; Loeffen, W.L.A.
Source Communications in Computer and Information Sciences 299 (2012)2. - ISSN 1865-0929 - p. 151 - 160.
Department(s) CVI Diagnostics and Crisis
CVI Virology
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2012
Abstract Bayesian networks are typically designed in collaboration with a single domain expert from a single institute. Since a network is often intended for wider use, its engineering involves verifying whether it appropriately reflects expert knowledge from other institutes. Upon engineering a network intended for use across Europe, we compared the original probability assessments obtained from our Dutch expert with assessments from 38 experts in six countries. While we found large variances among the assessments per probability, very high consistency was found for the qualitative properties embedded in the series of assessments per assessor. The apparent robustness of these properties suggests the importance of enforcing them in a Bayesian network under construction.
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