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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Record number 432509
Title Expert elicitation for the variogram
Author(s) Truong, N.P.; Heuvelink, G.B.M.; Gosling, J.P.
Source In: Proceedings of the 10th International Symposium on Spatial Accuracy Assessment in Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences, 10-13 July 2012, Florianopolos, Brazil. - Federal University of Santa Catarina - p. 251 - 256.
Event 10th International Symposium on Spatial Accuracy Assessment in Natural Resources and Environmental SciencesFlorianopolos, SC, Brazil, 2012-07-10/2012-07-13
Department(s) Land Dynamics
PE&RC
Publication type Contribution in proceedings
Publication year 2012
Abstract The variogram is the keystone of Kriging. Much research has been devoted to modelling the variogram from structural analysis of observations. However, there are many instances when the variogram is needed and there are no observations to base on. This can be due to budget constraints, physical or temporal obstacles, or a demand for a priori variogram in Bayesian geostatistics and spatial sampling design. Using expert knowledge that is elicited with a formal statistical expert elicitation procedure is suggested. In this study, we designed a protocol for a wellstructured elicitation procedure to elicit the variogram from expert knowledge. The protocol has two main stages: elicitation of the marginal probability distribution and elicitation of the variogram. We built a web-based tool to facilitate the procedure. A case study was carried out to quantify spatial accuracy of a legacy map of the volumetric soil water content at field capacity. Expert elicitation returns a variogram that has a Matérn model shape with nugget = 0.45, partial sill = 54.57, range = 25410 meters and kappa = 0.40. The results show that the online elicitation tool satisfactorily captured expert opinion although, currently, it is only a prototype that needs to be further developed.
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