Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

    We have a manual that explains all the features 

Record number 495396
Title Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C
Author(s) Rogelj, Joeri; Luderer, Gunnar; Pietzcker, Robert C.; Kriegler, Elmar; Schaeffer, Michiel; Krey, Volker; Riahi, Keywan
Source Nature Climate Change 5 (2015)6. - ISSN 1758-678X - p. 519 - 527.
DOI https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2572
Department(s) Environmental Systems Analysis Group
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2015
Abstract

Many impacts projected for a global warming level of 2 °C relative to pre-industrial levels may exceed the coping capacities of particularly vulnerable countries. Therefore, many countries advocate limiting warming to below 1.5 °C. Here we analyse integrated energy-economy-environment scenarios that keep warming to below 1.5 °C by 2100. We find that in such scenarios, energy-system transformations are in many aspects similar to 2 °C-consistent scenarios, but show a faster scale-up of mitigation action in most sectors, leading to observable differences in emission reductions in 2030 and 2050. The move from a 2 °C- to a 1.5 °C-consistent world will be achieved mainly through additional reductions of CO 2. This implies an earlier transition to net zero carbon emissions worldwide, to be achieved between 2045 and 2060. Energy efficiency and stringent early reductions are key to retain a possibility for limiting warming to below 1.5 °C by 2100. The window for achieving this goal is small and rapidly closing.

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