Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Record number 495541
Title Mapping species abundance by a spatial zero-inflated Poisson model : A case study in the Wadden Sea, the Netherlands
Author(s) Lyashevska, Olga; Brus, D.J.; Meer, Jaap van der
Source Ecology and Evolution 6 (2016)2. - ISSN 2045-7758 - p. 532 - 543.
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.1880
Department(s) Alterra - Soil, water and land use
PE&RC
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2016
Keyword(s) Benthic species - Count data - Generalized linear spatial modeling - Spatial correlation
Abstract

The objective of the study was to provide a general procedure for mapping species abundance when data are zero-inflated and spatially correlated counts. The bivalve species Macoma balthica was observed on a 500×500 m grid in the Dutch part of the Wadden Sea. In total, 66% of the 3451 counts were zeros. A zero-inflated Poisson mixture model was used to relate counts to environmental covariates. Two models were considered, one with relatively fewer covariates (model "small") than the other (model "large"). The models contained two processes: a Bernoulli (species prevalence) and a Poisson (species intensity, when the Bernoulli process predicts presence). The model was used to make predictions for sites where only environmental data are available. Predicted prevalences and intensities show that the model "small" predicts lower mean prevalence and higher mean intensity, than the model "large". Yet, the product of prevalence and intensity, which might be called the unconditional intensity, is very similar. Cross-validation showed that the model "small" performed slightly better, but the difference was small. The proposed methodology might be generally applicable, but is computer intensive.

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