Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Record number 497152
Title Spatial modelling of rice yield losses in Tanzania due to bacterial leaf blight and leaf blast in a changing climate
Author(s) Duku, Confidence; Sparks, Adam H.; Zwart, Sander J.
Source Climatic Change 135 (2016)3. - ISSN 0165-0009 - p. 569 - 583.
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1580-2
Department(s) Environmental Systems Analysis Group
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2016
Abstract

Rice is the most rapidly growing staple food in Africa and although rice production is steadily increasing, the consumption is still out-pacing the production. In Tanzania, two important diseases in rice production are leaf blast caused by Magnaporthe oryzae and bacterial leaf blight caused by Xanthomonas oryzae pv. oryzae. The objective of this study was to quantify rice yield losses due to these two important diseases under a changing climate. We found that bacterial leaf blight is predicted to increase causing greater losses than leaf blast in the future, with losses due to leaf blast declining. The results of this study indicate that the effects of climate change on plant disease can not only be expected to be uneven across diseases but also across geographies, as in some geographic areas losses increase but decrease in others for the same disease.

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