Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

    We have a manual that explains all the features 

Record number 501764
Title The role of rainfed agriculture in securing food production in the Nile Basin
Author(s) Siderius, C.; Walsum, P.E.V. Van; Roest, C.W.J.; Smit, A.A.M.F.R.; Hellegers, P.J.G.J.; Kabat, P.; Ierland, E.C. Van
Source Environmental Science & Policy 61 (2016). - ISSN 1462-9011 - p. 14 - 23.
Department(s) Alterra - Climate change and adaptive land and water management
Alterra - Integrated water and catchment management
Water Resources Management
Environmental Economics and Natural Resources Group
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2016
Keyword(s) Food security - Nile basin - Rainfed agriculture - Water allocations - Water dispute

A better use of land and water resources will be necessary to meet the increasing demand for food in the Nile basin. Using a hydro-economic model along the storyline of three future political cooperation scenarios, we show that the future of food production in the Basin lies not in the expansion of intensively irrigated areas and the disputed reallocation of water, but in utilizing the vast forgotten potential of rainfed agriculture in the upstream interior, with supplemental irrigation where needed. Our results indicate that rainfed agriculture can cover more than 75% of the needed increase in food production by the year 2025. Many of the most suitable regions for rainfed agriculture in the Nile basin, however, have been destabilized by recent war and civil unrest. Stabilizing those regions and strengthening intra-basin cooperation via food trade seem to be better strategies than unilateral expansion of upstream irrigation, as the latter will reduce hydropower generation and relocate, rather than increase, food production.

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