Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Record number 534092
Title The effects of feeding back experts’ own initial ratings in Delphi studies : A randomized trial
Author(s) Meijering, Jurian Vincent; Tobi, Hilde
Source International Journal of Forecasting 34 (2018)2. - ISSN 0169-2070 - p. 216 - 224.
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2017.11.010
Department(s) Biometris (WU MAT)
WASS
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2018
Abstract This study examined the effects of feeding back experts’ initial ratings on three Delphi outcome measures: (1) the percentage of items on which experts changed their opinion; (2) the degree to which experts changed their ratings towards the group response; and (3) the increase in the level of agreement among experts. Additionally, two conformity indices were developed. Within a real-world Delphi study, experts were randomly assigned to one of two conditions: either their initial ratings were included in feedback (IN) or excluded from feedback (EX). Results showed that experts in the EX condition changed their opinion relatively more often than experts in the IN condition. Results also suggested that experts in the EX condition changed their ratings to a greater degree towards the group response than experts in the IN condition. No difference between conditions was found regarding the increase in the level of agreement.
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