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urn:nbn:nl:ui:32-420196 2026-03-31 urn:nbn:nl:ui:32-420196/mods Ex Ante Impact Assessment of Policies Affecting Land Use, Part A: Analytical Framework Helming K. aut Diehl K. aut Bach H. aut Dilly O. aut König B. aut Kuhlman J.W. 314616276 aut Perez-Soba M. 138263035 0000-0002-7413-9385 0000000065414379 aut Sieber S. aut Tabbush P. aut Tscherning K. aut Wascher D. aut Wiggering H. aut text info:eu-repo/semantics/article 2011 2-s2.0-79954490088 000289081200019 en Contemporary policy making calls for scientific support to anticipate the possible consequences of optional policy decisions on sustainable development. This paper presents an analytical framework for ex ante assessment of economic, social, and environmental impacts of policy driven land use changes that can be used as an aid to policy making. The tasks were to (1) link policy scenarios with land use change simulations, (2) link land use change simulations with environmental, social, and economic impacts through indicators, and (3) valuate the impacts in the context of sustainable development. The outcome was a basis for dialogue at the science-policy interface in the process of developing new policies on the European level that impact on land and land use. The analytical approach provides a logical thread for ex ante impact assessment within the context of sustainable development, land use multifunctionality, and land use change and it provides a thorough discussion of achievements and open challenges related to the framework. It concludes with considerations on the potential for using evidence based ex ante assessments in the process of policy development. The paper is complemented by a B-paper providing exemplary results from two applications of the framework: a financial reform scenario of the Common Agricultural Policy of the European Union, and a bioenergy policy scenario for the case of Poland (Helming et al. 2011). Wageningen Environmental Research LEI Regional economy & land use CGI - Earth Observation LEI Regional economy & land use agriculture biodiversity dynamics ecosystem services indicators integrated assessment multifunctionality perspectives special-issue valuation Wageningen Environmental Research LEI Regionale Economie & Ruimtegebruik CGI - Aardobservatie LEI Regionale Economie en Ruimtegebruik Ecology and Society 16 1 17083087 urn:nbn:nl:ui:32-420196/obj 2026-03-31 http://purl.org/eprint/accessRights/OpenAccess