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Record nummer 2058219
Titel artikel Exploring future flood management : a comparison of scenarios from literature and stakeholder perspectives
Bron 4th International Symposium on Flood Defence: Managing Flood Risk, Reliability and Vulnerability, Toronto, May 6-8 2008
Auteur(s) Raadgever, G.T. ; Becker, G.
Deel(Jaar)Nummer (2008)
Online full text
Trefwoorden (cab) hoogwaterbeheersing / waterbeheer / scenario-analyse
Rubrieken Klimaatverandering / Hydrologie
Publicatie type Congresverslag
Taal Engels
Toelichting (Engels) Scenarios are useful for exploring potential flood management strategies under different sets of future conditions. There are numerous ways of developing scenarios. This paper compares an often-used set of scenarios from literature with the perspectives of flood management stakeholders in the Rhine basin. The comparison shows that the autonomous developments, strategies and related links differ between the two approaches, which have different strengths and provide additional insights. An important finding is that variety of autonomous developments in the scenarios from literature is broader than in the perspective-based scenarios. In addition, scenarios from literature are better grounded in science and offer, often quantitative, data about many aspects of the future. On the other hand, developing scenarios using stakeholder perspectives may result in scenarios that are better tailored towards specific situations, and in a stronger feeling of ownership by stakeholders.
Betrokken instanties Technische Universiteit Delft, Faculteit der Civiele Techniek en Geowetenschappen, Afdeling Watermanagement
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Instituut voor Milieuvraagstukken (IVM)
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