Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Record number 484579
Title How fast can European forests adapt to climate change?
Author(s) Nabuurs, G.J.; Hengeveld, G.M.; Schelhaas, M.; Reyer, C.; Hanewinkel, M.
Source In: Proceedings of the XXIV IUFRO World Congress: Sustaining forests, sustaining people: the role of research. - - p. 219 - 219.
Event XXIV IUFRO World Congress, Salt Lake City, USA, 2014-10-06/2014-10-11
Department(s) Vegetation, Forest and Landscape Ecology
Publication type Abstract in scientific journal or proceedings
Publication year 2014
Abstract The large diversity in abiotic and biotic circumstances in European forests makes it extremely diffi cult to predict what the impacts of climate change will be on the various tree species, and ecosystems at the various localities. This makes it even more diffi cult to analyze how forest management should adapt. The case studies in EU Motive-project provide, however, a basis for upscaling to the European scale. For the fi rst time we combine species changes as predicted by a climate envelop model with an incorporation of forest management responses in an empirical European forest resource model (EFISCEN). It is assumed that only then a forest owner will decide to change tree species at that site towards one that is more preferred according to the climate envelop model. The results indicate that tree species composition will change only slowly at the European scale. By 2070, 10% of the total forest area will have changed species.
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