Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Record number 552368
Title Analysing social-ecological interactions in disease control: An agent-based model on farmers’ decision making and potato late blight dynamics
Author(s) Pacilly, Francine C.A.; Hofstede, Gert Jan; Lammerts van Bueren, Edith T.; Groot, Jeroen C.J.
Source Environmental Modelling & Software 119 (2019). - ISSN 1364-8152 - p. 354 - 373.
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.06.016
Department(s) Farming Systems Ecology
WASS
Information Technology
Plant Breeding
PE&RC
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2019
Availibility Full text available from 2021-09-01
Keyword(s) Consumat - Phytophthora infestans - Resistance management - Social-ecological systems
Abstract

In this paper we focus on potato late blight control in the Netherlands to analyse the social-ecological interactions between farmer behaviour and disease dynamics. An agent-based model was developed to analyse the use of crop resistance for sustainable disease control. The framework on farmers’ decision-making was based on a behavioural theory and supported by data from literature and interviews with Dutch potato farmers. This framework was integrated with a previously developed spatially explicit model on potato late blight dynamics. We assumed a scenario where a new resistant potato variety was introduced to the market. The model reproduced a boom-and-bust cycle: the percentage of farmers growing the resistant variety increased until resistance breakdown occurred by emergence and spread of a virulent strain, and in response farmers switched to other potato varieties and management strategies. Several factors and processes were identified that could contribute to the development of sustainable disease management strategies.

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