Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Record number 553301
Title Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target
Author(s) Frank, Stefan; Havlík, Petr; Stehfest, Elke; Meijl, Hans van; Witzke, Peter; Pérez-Domínguez, Ignacio; Dijk, Michiel van; Doelman, Jonathan C.; Fellmann, Thomas; Koopman, Jason F.L.; Tabeau, Andrzej; Valin, Hugo
Source Nature Climate Change 9 (2019)1. - ISSN 1758-678X - p. 66 - 72.
DOI https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0358-8
Department(s) Programmamanagement
International Policy
Publication type Refereed Article in a scientific journal
Publication year 2019
Abstract

Agricultural methane and nitrous oxide emissions represent around 10–12% of total anthropogenic GHG emissions and have a key role to play in achieving a 1.5 °C (above pre-industrial) climate stabilization target. Using a multi-model assessment approach, we quantify the potential contribution of agriculture to the 1.5 °C target and decompose the mitigation potential by emission source, region and mitigation mechanism. The results show that the livestock sector will be vital to achieve emission reductions consistent with the 1.5 °C target mainly through emission-reducing technologies or structural changes. Agriculture may contribute emission reductions of 0.8–1.4 Gt of CO2-equivalent (CO2e) yr−1 at just US$20 per tCO2e in 2050. Combined with dietary changes, emission reductions can be increased to 1.7–1.8 GtCO2e yr−1. At carbon prices compatible with the 1.5 °C target, agriculture could even provide average emission savings of 3.9 GtCO2e yr−1 in 2050, which represents around 8% of current GHG emissions.

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