Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

    We have a manual that explains all the features 

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The governance challenge of addressing grand challenges with current-day decisions in water infrastructure
Pot, W.D. - \ 2019
De adaptieve capaciteit van instituties in het Antropoceen
Pot, Wieke - \ 2019
DMDU Society Annual Meeting 2019, Securing Sustainable Future
Pot, Wieke ; Dewulf, Art - \ 2019
Chair of the session 'Institutions and governance arrangements enabling forward-looking decisions under uncertainty by governments'

The governmental challenge of anticipating the future with decisions about end-of-lifetime water infrastructure
Pot, Wieke - \ 2019


Omgaan met de toekomst
Pot, W.D. ; Bruggeman, W. ; Duin, Patrick van der - \ 2019
Water Governance (2019)3. - ISSN 2211-0224 - p. 6 - 7.
Vooruitziend gemeentelijk waterbeheer : Verklaringen voor de mate van toekomstgerichtheid van gemeentelijke rioleringsplannen
Pot, W.D. - \ 2019
Water Governance (2019)3. - ISSN 2211-0224 - p. 39 - 47.
Klimaatverandering, demografische en economische ontwikkelingen, digitalisering: Gemeenten zien zich in toenemende mate geconfronteerd met een scala aan toekomstige ontwikkelingen waarvan per definitief het verloop zeer onzeker is. Toekomstige ontwikkelingen spelen een grote rol wanneer gemeenten, en overheden in algemene zin, moeten investeren in hun waterinfrastructuur, zoals riolering en bovengrondse waterberging. Vooral riolering kent per slot van rekening een lange levensduur, van 30 tot mogelijk 60 jaar afhankelijk van de ondergrond. Bovendien is de Nederlandse waterinfrastructuur op veel plekken aan vernieuwing toe (Hijdra et al., 2014).
Podium: interview Maarten van der Vlist : Topspecialist adaptief watermanagement Rijkswaterstaat
Pot, W.D. - \ 2019
Water Governance (2019)3. - ISSN 2211-0224 - p. 36 - 38.
Anticipating the Future in Urban Water Management: an Assessment of Municipal Investment Decisions
Pot, Wieke - \ 2019
Water Resources Management 33 (2019)4. - ISSN 0920-4741 - p. 1297 - 1313.
Ageing infrastructure - Forward-looking investment decisions - Future anticipation - Municipalities - Urban water management

Municipalities are confronted with future uncertainties when they need to take decisions about their ageing water infrastructure. Previous work that addressed future challenges of urban water management focused mainly on climate change. This article develops a comprehensive index for forward-looking decisions about urban water management, to assess the extent to which, and how, Dutch municipalities anticipate the future with their investment decisions on urban water infrastructure. Results are based on a systematic comparison of investment decisions of 40 Dutch municipalities (about 10% of the population). Findings show that: 1) the extent to which municipalities anticipate the future differs largely; 2) only half of the municipalities adopt a long time perspective; 3) there are no commonly applied robustness tests; 4) flexibility is not explicitly adopted; rather, different flexible measures are applied; and 5) a minority of municipalities develop strategic visions or scenarios for urban water management to support decisions. These results highlight important areas of attention for municipalities worldwide. First, the need to invest in ageing water infrastructure can be seized as an opportunity to establish futureproof urban water management. Furthermore, climate change should be integrated with other future uncertainties into water management decisions. Third, transboundary cooperation could potentially increase municipalities’ capacity to address uncertain futures and enhance learning. And last, increasing the use of scenario analysis and envisioning could help municipalities to prepare for the future. The index provided can be used for ex ante development and ex post assessment of investment decisions, to increase municipalities’ preparedness for the future.

What makes decisions about urban water infrastructure forward looking? A fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis of investment decisions in 40 Dutch municipalities
Pot, W.D. ; Dewulf, A. ; Biesbroek, G.R. ; Verweij, S. - \ 2019
Land Use Policy 82 (2019). - ISSN 0264-8377 - p. 781 - 795.
Forward-looking decisions - Fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) - Long-term governance - Multiple streams framework - Urban water infrastructure

Municipalities worldwide are confronted with the need to take long-term decisions about ageing water infrastructure in the face of unpredictable future developments. Previous studies on long-term decision making have proposed solutions targeted at the domain of either politics or planning. This study combines insights from the domains of policy, politics, and planning by using the Multiple Streams Framework to explain what enables municipalities to take forward-looking investment decisions. We combine the configurational MSF perspective with an explicitly configurational method namely fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis and apply this to 40 cases of Dutch municipalities. We conclude that enabling conditions differ for small versus medium-to-large municipalities. Furthermore, forward-looking investment decisions can be achieved regardless of the municipalities’ organizational analytical capacity. In fact, and contrasting to the requirement of the MSF, not all streams necessarily have to be present for forward-looking decisions to occur. For medium-to-large municipalities, forward-looking investment decisions are stimulated by: (1) the presence of organizational analytical capacity, (2) transactional/networking political leadership in situations without focusing events, or (3) entrepreneurial/transformative political leadership in situations with focusing events. For small municipalities, forward-looking investment decisions are stimulated by networking/interpersonal political leadership combined with the occurrence of focusing events.

Water Governance (Journal)
Pot, Wieke - \ 2018
Water Governance (2018). - ISSN 2211-0224
Preparing for the future – Enhancing forward-looking decisions about end-of-lifetime water infrastructure
Pot, Wieke - \ 2018
ECPR General Conference 2018
Pot, Wieke - \ 2018
Deciding about the future? Embedding the long term in today’s governance. Convenor panel.
The governance of long term problems: exploring the role of sensemaking for forward-looking decisions
Dewulf, A.R.P.J. ; Pot, W.D. - \ 2018
What makes long-term investment decisions forward looking : A framework applied to the case of Amsterdam's new sea lock
Pot, W.D. ; Dewulf, A. ; Biesbroek, G.R. ; Vlist, M.J. van der; Termeer, C.J.A.M. - \ 2018
Technological Forecasting and Social Change 132 (2018). - ISSN 0040-1625 - p. 174 - 190.
Forward-looking decisions - Future anticipation - Infrastructure investments - Public sector - Scenario use
Long-term investments challenge decision makers to look into the far future. Existing future studies often build upon a rational idea of decision making that does not help to explain why decision makers anticipate the future. In addition, existing studies do not provide a clear definition of what is considered as “forward looking”. This article proposes a framework that can be used to evaluate and explain for what reasons and based on what criteria decision makers take forward-looking investment decisions. We apply this framework to a specific decision-making case about a Dutch sea lock, making use of interviews (n = 16) and a content analysis of primary documents (n = 430). We find that not all investment decisions are necessarily forward looking. Secondly, we conclude from our case that decisions became forward looking because administrators used scenarios, visions, and flexible solutions to build support, avoid political risks and comply to formal rules. Scenario developers and urban planners could therefore involve administrators in early stages of the decision-making process to increase their awareness of the future towards which they are steering and provide them with alternative future paths. Furthermore, they could identify and use relevant institutional rules with forward-looking features to stimulate forward-looking decisions.
Forward-looking investment decisions about end-oflifetime infrastructure: the role of politics and rules in investments in a Dutch sea lock
Pot, W.D. - \ 2017
The forward-looking capacity of local governments. An assessment of investment plans in municipal water infrastructure
Pot, W.D. - \ 2017
Vooruitziende beslissingen over vervanging van waterinfrastructuur
Pot, Wieke - \ 2017
Speaker and organisor of Symposium Vooruitziende beslissingen over vervanging van waterinfrastructuur, 10 mei 2017, Urk
The forward-looking capacity of local governments. An assessment of investment plans in municipal water infrastructure
Pot, Wieke - \ 2017
Lange termijn uitdagingen en vervangingsopgaven in de Nieuwe Delta
Pot, Wieke - \ 2016
Lange termijn uitdagingen en vervangingsopgaven in de Nieuwe Delta
Lange termijn uitdagingen en vervangingsopgaven in de Nieuwe Delta
Pot, Wieke - \ 2016
Lange termijn uitdagingen en vervangingsopgaven in de Nieuwe Delta
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