- K.M. Ernst (1)
- J.T.J. Fransen (1)
- N. Fresco (1)
- C.H.T.M. Heijden van der (1)
- K. Hillmer-Pegram (1)
- R. Hum (1)
- C.R. Jaeger (1)
- C.J. Kleijs-Wijnnobel (1)
- J.H. Koeman (1)
- A.G.J. Koningh (1)
- R.J. Kres (1)
- O. Lee (1)
- D. Loorbach (2)
- A.L. Lovecraft (1)
- G. Machavariani (1)
- R. Notten (1)
- W.R.F. Notten (1)
- P. Notten van (2)
- B.L. Preston (1)
- J. Stel (1)
- D.A.J.M. Stijnen (1)
- S. Vellema (1)
- S.R. Vellema (1)
- S. Wesche (1)
|Scenarios thinking for the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Region
Lovecraft, A.L. ; Preston, B.L. ; Absar, S.M. ; Blair, Berill ; Cost, D. ; Ernst, K.M. ; Fresco, N. ; Hillmer-Pegram, K. ; Hum, R. ; Lee, O. ; Machavariani, G. ; Wesche, S. - \ 2017
In: Adaptation Actions for a Changing Arctic Oslo : - ISBN 9788279711032 - p. 217 - 238.
A number of biophysical and socio-economic drivers will have a significant influence on future vulnerability, risk, resilience, and adaptation planning in the Bering-Chuckchi-Beaufort (BCB) region ( Chapters 4-7). The trajectories of some of those drivers are amenable to modeling, forecasting, or projection. However, the future is inherently uncertain, particularly over long time horizons. Scenarios have been used for over 50 years as a tool for exploring such uncertainty in order to identify key driving forces and critical unknowns, as well as to generate shared understanding among stakeholders regarding the potential for, and implications of, alternative futures (van Notten et al., 2003; Bishop et al., 2007; Avango et al., 2013). This chapter provides a general overview of scenarios and their value for understanding the implications of a changing climate within the broader context of global change. The chapter includes a review of how scenarios have been used previously to understand climate change vulnerability, risk, and resilience, with a particular emphasis on the Arctic. It also introduces a new series of qualitative regional and subregional socioeconomic scenarios for the BCB region, peering into the future to 2050, and discusses their implications for climate change impacts as well as adaptation planning and implementation.
Strategic transparency between food chain and society: cultural perspective images on the future of farmed salmon
Vellema, S. ; Loorbach, D. ; Notten, P. van - \ 2006
Production Planning & Control 17 (2006)6. - ISSN 0953-7287 - p. 624 - 632.
This paper describes a participatory foresight method developed and tested by the authors. The method of cultural perspective images, rooted in grid-group of cultural theory, was used in an experimental dialogue among companies and a selection of other stakeholders directly or indirectly involved in the food chain of farmed salmon. The method is used to map different future outlooks based on distinct worldviews and management styles present in the food chain and its social environment. Drawing cultural perspective images helps to foresee when cultural perspectives are commensurable or not. Its use also supports efforts to define a shared future beyond the immediate concerns of competition and cost pressures and to enhance strategic transparency between the cultures in food chains and society.
The BAPSA approach to foresight in food chains : verslag van twee "experimentele dialogen" : 1 oktober 2003, Kasteel Groeneveld Baarn, 5 november 2003, Stadskasteel Oudean Utrecht
Heijden, C.H.T.M. van der; Loorbach, D. ; Notten, P. van; Stel, J. ; Stijnen, D.A.J.M. ; Vellema, S.R. - \ 2003
Wageningen : Agrotechnology & Food Innovations - 36 p.
Een gasverpakking voor verse vis : voortgangsrapportage voor de periode 1 oktober 2000 - 1 april 2001
Notten, R. ; Jaeger, C.R. - \ 2001
Wageningen : Agrotechnological Research Institute (ATO) - 16
|Luchtkwaliteit benzeen. Advies over het ontwerp-besluit luchtkwaliteit benzeen.
Koeman, J.H. ; Brunekreef, B. ; Eijsackers, H.J.P. ; Fransen, J.T.J. ; Kleijs-Wijnnobel, C.J. ; Koningh, A.G.J. ; Kres, R.J. ; Notten, W.R.F. - \ 1990