Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes
Schewe, Jacob ; Gosling, Simon N. ; Reyer, Christopher ; Zhao, Fang ; Ciais, Philippe ; Elliott, Joshua ; Francois, Louis ; Huber, Veronika ; Lotze, Heike K. ; Seneviratne, Sonia I. ; Vliet, Michelle T.H. Van; Vautard, Robert ; Wada, Yoshihide ; Breuer, Lutz ; Büchner, Matthias ; Carozza, David A. ; Chang, Jinfeng ; Coll, Marta ; Deryng, Delphine ; Wit, Allard De; Eddy, Tyler D. ; Folberth, Christian ; Frieler, Katja ; Friend, Andrew D. ; Gerten, Dieter ; Gudmundsson, Lukas ; Hanasaki, Naota ; Ito, Akihiko ; Khabarov, Nikolay ; Kim, Hyungjun ; Lawrence, Peter ; Morfopoulos, Catherine ; Müller, Christoph ; Müller Schmied, Hannes ; Orth, René ; Ostberg, Sebastian ; Pokhrel, Yadu ; Pugh, Thomas A.M. ; Sakurai, Gen ; Satoh, Yusuke ; Schmid, Erwin ; Stacke, Tobias ; Steenbeek, Jeroen ; Steinkamp, Jörg ; Tang, Qiuhong ; Tian, Hanqin ; Tittensor, Derek P. ; Volkholz, Jan ; Wang, Xuhui ; Warszawski, Lila - \ 2019
Nature Communications 10 (2019). - ISSN 2041-1723
Global impact models represent process-level understanding of how natural and human systems may be affected by climate change. Their projections are used in integrated assessments of climate change. Here we test, for the first time, systematically across many important systems, how well such impact models capture the impacts of extreme climate conditions. Using the 2003 European heat wave and drought as a historical analogue for comparable events in the future, we find that a majority of models underestimate the extremeness of impacts in important sectors such as agriculture, terrestrial ecosystems, and heat-related human mortality, while impacts on water resources and hydropower are overestimated in some river basins; and the spread across models is often large. This has important implications for economic assessments of climate change impacts that rely on these models. It also means that societal risks from future extreme events may be greater than previously thought.
The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models
Zhao, Fang ; Veldkamp, Ted I.E. ; Frieler, Katja ; Schewe, Jacob ; Ostberg, Sebastian ; Willner, Sven ; Schauberger, Bernhard ; Gosling, Simon N. ; Schmied, Hannes Müller ; Portmann, Felix T. ; Leng, Guoyong ; Huang, Maoyi ; Liu, Xingcai ; Tang, Qiuhong ; Hanasaki, Naota ; Biemans, Hester ; Gerten, Dieter ; Satoh, Yusuke ; Pokhrel, Yadu ; Stacke, Tobias ; Ciais, Philippe ; Chang, Jinfeng ; Ducharne, Agnes ; Guimberteau, Matthieu ; Wada, Yoshihide ; Kim, Hyungjun ; Yamazaki, Dai - \ 2017
Environmental Research Letters 12 (2017)7. - ISSN 1748-9318
daily runoff - flood - global hydrological models - GRDC - ISIMIP - peak river discharge - river routing
Global hydrological models (GHMs) have been applied to assess global flood hazards, but their capacity to capture the timing and amplitude of peak river discharge - which is crucial in flood simulations - has traditionally not been the focus of examination. Here we evaluate to what degree the choice of river routing scheme affects simulations of peak discharge and may help to provide better agreement with observations. To this end we use runoff and discharge simulations of nine GHMs forced by observational climate data (1971-2010) within the ISIMIP2a project. The runoff simulations were used as input for the global river routing model CaMa-Flood. The simulated daily discharge was compared to the discharge generated by each GHM using its native river routing scheme. For each GHM both versions of simulated discharge were compared to monthly and daily discharge observations from 1701 GRDC stations as a benchmark. CaMa-Flood routing shows a general reduction of peak river discharge and a delay of about two to three weeks in its occurrence, likely induced by the buffering capacity of floodplain reservoirs. For a majority of river basins, discharge produced by CaMa-Flood resulted in a better agreement with observations. In particular, maximum daily discharge was adjusted, with a multi-model averaged reduction in bias over about 2/3 of the analysed basin area. The increase in agreement was obtained in both managed and near-natural basins. Overall, this study demonstrates the importance of routing scheme choice in peak discharge simulation, where CaMa-Flood routing accounts for floodplain storage and backwater effects that are not represented in most GHMs. Our study provides important hints that an explicit parameterisation of these processes may be essential in future impact studies.
Modeling global water use for the 21st century : The Water Futures and Solutions (WFaS) initiative and its approaches
Wada, Y. ; Flörke, M. ; Hanasaki, N. ; Eisner, S. ; Fischer, G. ; Tramberend, S. ; Satoh, Y. ; Vliet, M.T.H. Van; Yillia, P. ; Ringler, C. ; Burek, P. ; Wiberg, D. - \ 2016
Geoscientific Model Development 9 (2016)1. - ISSN 1991-959X - p. 175 - 222.

To sustain growing food demand and increasing standard of living, global water use increased by nearly 6 times during the last 100 years, and continues to grow. As water demands get closer and closer to the water availability in many regions, each drop of water becomes increasingly valuable and water must be managed more efficiently and intensively. However, soaring water use worsens water scarcity conditions already prevalent in semi-arid and arid regions, increasing uncertainty for sustainable food production and economic development. Planning for future development and investments requires that we prepare water projections for the future. However, estimations are complicated because the future of the world's waters will be influenced by a combination of environmental, social, economic, and political factors, and there is only limited knowledge and data available about freshwater resources and how they are being used. The Water Futures and Solutions (WFaS) initiative coordinates its work with other ongoing scenario efforts for the sake of establishing a consistent set of new global water scenarios based on the shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) and the representative concentration pathways (RCPs). The WFaS "fast-track" assessment uses three global water models, namely H08, PCR-GLOBWB, and WaterGAP. This study assesses the state of the art for estimating and projecting water use regionally and globally in a consistent manner. It provides an overview of different approaches, the uncertainty, strengths and weaknesses of the various estimation methods, types of management and policy decisions for which the current estimation methods are useful. We also discuss additional information most needed to be able to improve water use estimates and be able to assess a greater range of management options across the water-energy-climate nexus.

Bicarbonate interactions
Rensen, J.J.S. van; Klimov, V.V. - \ 2005
In: Photosystem II: The light driven water/plastoquinone oxido-reductase / Wydrzynksi, T., Satoh, K., Dordrecht : Springer (Advances in Photosynthesis and Respiration 22) - ISBN 1402042493 - p. 329 - 346.
Benefit of multiple trait selection to increase reproductive traits; experimental evidence from Golden hamsters.
Satoh, M. ; Nishida, A. ; Arendonk, J.A.M. van; Lende, T. van der - \ 1997
Journal of Animal Science 75 (1997). - ISSN 0021-8812 - p. 3103 - 3113.
Fifteen generations of selection were conducted to study responses for litter size at birth (LSB), weight at weaning of standardized litter (LWW), and individual body weight at 8 wk of age (BW8) using golden hamsters as an experimental model for pigs. The experiment involved three lines: selection on an aggregate breeding value of LSB, LWW, and BW8 (line W); selection on an aggregate breeding value of LSB and LWW (line R); and a randomly selected control (line C). Selection in W and R was based on breeding values from a multiple trait animal model. Restricted maximum likelihood with an animal model was used to estimate genetic parameters and genetic trends. Heritability estimates for LSB, LWW, and BW8 were .10, .47, and .52, respectively, and genetic correlations between traits were all positive. The mean estimated breeding value (EBV) for LSB in generation 15 was 2.2 pups in W and R. The mean EBV for LWW in generation 15 was 318 g for W and 174 g for R, and for BW8 means were 64 g and 24 g, respectively. Average inbreeding at generation 16 was 13.4, 19.5, and 8.0% for W, R, and C, respectively. Including BW8 in the selection criterion reduced inbreeding and had a beneficial effect on selection responses in LSB, LWW, and BW8.
Selection responses for reproductive traits based on a multiple-trait animal model in golden hamsters.
Satoh, M. ; Arendonk, J.A.M. van; Lende, T. van der - \ 1996
In: Book of Abstracts 47th Annual Meeting EAAP no. 2 - p. 27 - 27.
Outdoor recreation planning in rural areas.
Lier, H.N. van; Satoh, Y. - \ 1991
Wageningen : Landbouwuniversiteit - ISBN 9789053850053 - 84
openluchtrecreatie - recreatie - planning - investering - kosten-batenanalyse - economische evaluatie - outdoor recreation - recreation - investment - cost benefit analysis - economic evaluation
A chlorophyll tilted 30 degrees relative to the membrane in the photosystem II reaction center.
Mieghem, F.J.E. van; Satoh, K. ; Rutherford, A.W. - \ 1991
Biochimica et biophysica acta-protein structure and molecular enzymology 1058 (1991). - ISSN 0167-4838 - p. 379 - 385.
Outdoor recreation planning in rural areas: an introductory course.
Lier, H.N. van; Satoh, Y. - \ 1990
Unknown Publisher - 84 p.
Outdoor recreation planning and rural development in The Netherlands.
Satoh, J. ; Lier, H.N. van - \ 1989
Journal of the Rural Planning Association 7 (1989)4. - p. 13 - 28.
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