Staff Publications

Staff Publications

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    'Staff publications' is the digital repository of Wageningen University & Research

    'Staff publications' contains references to publications authored by Wageningen University staff from 1976 onward.

    Publications authored by the staff of the Research Institutes are available from 1995 onwards.

    Full text documents are added when available. The database is updated daily and currently holds about 240,000 items, of which 72,000 in open access.

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Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
Runge, Jakob ; Bathiany, Sebastian ; Bollt, Erik ; Camps-Valls, Gustau ; Coumou, Dim ; Deyle, Ethan ; Glymour, Clark ; Kretschmer, Marlene ; Mahecha, Miguel D. ; Muñoz-Marí, Jordi ; Nes, Egbert H. van; Peters, Jonas ; Quax, Rick ; Reichstein, Markus ; Scheffer, Marten ; Schölkopf, Bernhard ; Spirtes, Peter ; Sugihara, George ; Sun, Jie ; Zhang, Kun ; Zscheischler, Jakob - \ 2019
Nature Communications 10 (2019)1. - ISSN 2041-1723

The heart of the scientific enterprise is a rational effort to understand the causes behind the phenomena we observe. In large-scale complex dynamical systems such as the Earth system, real experiments are rarely feasible. However, a rapidly increasing amount of observational and simulated data opens up the use of novel data-driven causal methods beyond the commonly adopted correlation techniques. Here, we give an overview of causal inference frameworks and identify promising generic application cases common in Earth system sciences and beyond. We discuss challenges and initiate the benchmark platform causeme.net to close the gap between method users and developers.

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