Volume 3 Bayesian Statistics and Quality Modelling in the Agro-Food Production Chain

cover_195.jpg van Boekel, M.A.J.S.; Stein, A.; van Bruggen, A.H.C. (Eds.)
2004, 172 p., Softcover
ISBN: 978-1-4020-1917-3

About this book

The food market is changing from a producer-controlled to a consumer-directed market. A main driving force is consumer concern about agricultural production methods and food safety. More than before, the consumer demands transparency of the production and processing chain.


A food chain can be quite complex and the use of models has become indispensable to handle this complexity. Modelling tools are becoming increasingly important to guide the decisions for production of high-quality and safe agricultural foods. With the aid of models it becomes possible to control and predict quality attributes, so that product innovation can be done more efficiently. However, quality is an elusive concept, and there is always an aspect of subjectivity and uncertainty.


A novel approach in the agro-food chain would be to tackle subjective elements and uncertainty in modelling by using Bayesian statistics and Bayesian Belief Networks. Bayesian approaches use prior probabilities (partly accounting for subjectivity) to estimate posterior probabilities, resulting in higher accuracy than is possible with classical statistical techniques. Thus, the variability and uncertainty in data and decisions, inherent in a complex food chain, can be dealt with.

Written for:

Scientists, researchers

Table of Contents

Preface

Preface
N.A. Editors
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Chapters

T. Fearn
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11-16
M.A.J.S. Van Boekel
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17-27
A. O’Hagan
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31-45
M.J.W. Jansen, T.J. Hagenaars
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47-55
D. Makowski, M. Jeuffroy, M. Guérif
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57-68
R.E. Schouten, L.M.M. Tijskens, O. Van Kooten, G. Jongbloed
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71-80
E. Franz, A.H.C. Van Bruggen, A.M. Semenov
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81-94
J. Yuen, A. Mila
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95-103
A. Stein
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107-116
G.C. Barker
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117-128
L. Heres, B. Engel
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131-139
P. Van Beek
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141-144
H. Van der Voet, M. João Paulo
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145-162
General discussion and conclusion
M.A.J.S. Van Boekel, A. Stein, A.H.C. Van Bruggen
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163-164

Lists

List of participants
N.A. Editors
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